






|
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| | | Economic Indicators |
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2000
|
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005F |
2006F |
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| Gross
Domestic Product |
1,498.829 |
1,518.5 |
1,547.7 |
1,556.2 |
1,632.4 |
1,632.4 |
1,733.5 |
| (bil.
2003 R$) |
4.4% |
1.3% |
1.9% |
0.5% |
4.9% |
3.2% |
2.9% |
|
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|
|
| GDP
Growth by Sector |
|
|
| Agriculture |
2.1% |
5.6% |
5.5% |
4.4% |
4.5% |
4.3% |
5.0% |
|
Goods
Producing
Industries
|
4.8% |
-0.5% |
2.6% |
0.1% |
5.8% |
3.7% |
3.0% |
| Services
Producing
Industries
|
3.8% |
1.7% |
1.6% |
0.6% |
2.9% |
2.4% |
2.2% |
|
|
|
|
| Industrial
Production |
|
|
| Total |
6.6% |
1.6% |
2.7% |
-0.1 |
7.8% |
3.9% |
3.2% |
| Consumer
Goods |
3.6% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
-2.7% |
6.5% |
6.9% |
2.8% |
| Capital
Goods |
12.8% |
13.5% |
-5.6% |
1.9% |
20.2% |
4.0% |
4.5% |
|
|
|
|
| National
Retail Sales Index |
106.2 |
104.5 |
103.8 |
100.00 |
109.3 |
114.3 |
117.1 |
|
(2003=100) |
13.7% |
-1.6% |
-0.7% |
-3.7% |
9.3% |
4.6% |
2.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer Prices |
|
|
|
(INPC) |
7.3% |
6.8% |
8.1% |
15.0% |
6.6% |
6.9% |
6.2% |
|
|
|
|
| Unemployment
Rate |
7.1% |
7.2% |
7.9% |
12.3% |
11.8% |
10.0% |
10.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
Merchandise Exports |
$55.1 |
$58.2 |
$60.4 |
$73.1 |
$96.5 |
$115.8 |
$136.1 |
|
(bil. US$ fob) |
14.8% |
5.7% |
3.7% |
21.1% |
32.0% |
20.0% |
17.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
Merchandise Imports |
$55.8 |
$55.6 |
$47.2 |
$48.3 |
$62.8 |
$60.2 |
$58.4 |
|
(bil. US$ fob) |
13.3% |
-0.5% |
-15.0% |
2.2% |
30.1% |
-4.1% |
-3.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
Trade
Balance (bil. US$)
|
($0.7) |
($2.6) |
($13.1) |
($24.8) |
($33.7) |
($55.6) |
$77.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
R$/US$ Exchange Rate |
1.83 |
2.35 |
3.00 |
3.06 |
2.92 |
2.40 |
2.60 |
|
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|
|
| Long-Term Interest Rates
(TJLP)yield p.a |
10.75% |
9.50% |
9.88% |
11.5% |
9.81% |
9.75% |
9.50% |
|
|
|
|
|
Stock Prices - BOVESPA |
8,763 |
6,050 |
4,072 |
4,914 |
7,720 |
11,550 |
N.A. |
|
annual avg. US$ terms |
41.5% |
-31.0% |
-32.7% |
20.7% |
57.1% |
49.6% |
N.A. |
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign Direct Investment (bil. US$) |
$32.78 |
$22.46 |
$16.59 |
$10.14 |
$18.17 |
$13.30 |
N.A. |
|
|
|
|
| Foreign
Portfolio
investment (bil. US$) |
$6.96 |
$0.08 |
-$5.07 |
$5.31 |
-$4.00 |
$3.50 |
N.A. |
|
|
|
|
|
International Reserves (bil. US$, year end) |
$33.0 |
$35.9 |
$37.8 |
$49.3 |
$52.9 |
$64.4 |
N.A. |
| |
|
|
| Total
Foreign Debt
(bil. US$) |
$236.2 |
$226.1 |
$227.7 |
$241.8 |
$220.2 |
$200.0 |
N.A. |
| as
a percent of GDP |
-2.2% |
-4.3% |
0.7% |
3.4% |
-6.5% |
-9.2% |
N.A. |
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Source: Tendencias Consultoria Integrada; IBGE; Banco Central do Brasil; Financial Times; The Economist; BACCF
Special Report: The
Brazilian Economy in 2001, by Bradford Williamson
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